
Monterey is a bellwether weekend, as RM, Christie’s and Bonhams & Brooks duke it out. Each is offering a delectable array of first-tier collectible automobiles, and the automotive investment world watches and holds its breath as four-hundred special cars cross the block. Will collectible autos get caught up in the widespread financial misery reflected by the sinking stock market? Or, as in 1989, will they follow the art market and strike their own path upwards in value? We predict the latter, with increasingly stronger prices for high-end cars this year. Take note: A mystery bidder, at the June 26th Sotheby’s London sale, paid more than $14m for a masterpiece by the French impressionist, Claude Monet, far exceeding the pre-sale high estimate of $9.8m. The painting, Haystacks: Last Rays of the Sun, which had never before left France and was last seen in public in 1895, was sold after a frantic three-way bidding war. The sale total for the single night was over $47m. To paraphrase the comments of The International Herald Tribune, “The art market has enormous resiliency when consumerism is wavering elsewhere. Each work of art is unique and, to those who want it, irreplaceable. With the new awareness that the sum total of art from the past is finite and that the end of the age when masterpieces are available for sale is likely to come soon—probably within 20 years—the urge to buy remains irresistible.” The 100 or so collectors of means who play in the highest echelon, flipping Maserati Tipo 60 Birdcages, Ferrari 375 MM Spyders and supercharged Duesenbergs like mere mortals trade ’65 Mustangs, have vast fortunes that are relatively immune to the stock market. If a one-of-a-kind Mercedes SSK suddenly emerges from the bowels of Hungary with a multi-digit asking price, there will be no shortage of buyers to compete for it. There is a larger issue, however, that is addressed by the Tribune. Afoot among car collectors is a move to create private museums, funded in perpetuity by trust funds. This is very unlike past shifts in the market, when cars would go to Japan, or to Europe, or back to the US as economies waxed and waned. Now, each Ferrari GTO that goes into a funded collection is permanently off the market, making each one that survives that much more valuable if it comes up for private sale. How long will it be before every Jaguar D-type is locked away in a museum? Already, all four Ferrari TR-59s are believed to be owned by a single collector who may choose never to put any of them up for sale. As fewer significant cars are available for purchase, the value of those remaining will continue to escalate. As the automobile market matures, even with less-expensive serial production cars, buyers and sellers are exhibiting continued shrewdness, and an awareness of where each car fits in relation to others. An Alfa Giulia Spider Normale will never have the ultimate value of a Giulietta Spider Veloce. A great Maserati Mistral, its svelte styling hampered by an archaic long-stroke straight six, will always go for less than a similar-condition Ghibli with its free-winding V8. If you’re a seasoned member of the SCM family, you already know the mantra. Buy the best car you can afford, avoid projects unless you’re a do-it-yourself hobbyist, and don’t buy anything that doesn’t hit your hot button. If you’re new to SCM, perhaps picking up this copy at the Monterey Historic Weekend (and we thank Concorso Italiano, Christie’s, Bonhams & Brooks, RM, the Historic Races, the Inn at Spanish Bay and the Lodge at Pebble Beach for making SCM available to their patrons), you can look forward to the world’s largest selection of exotic cars being offered for sale August 17th through the 19th. We’re here to help in any way that we can. As our own Mr. Kerb (Michael Duffey) says, if you buy a car without knowing anything about it, you are “wandering in the dark, using your checkbook as a flashlight.” We all collect with our hearts. But a little forethought in terms of checking with experts, talking with auction companies and sellers, and setting your own spending limits can go a long way toward avoiding a battle with your head the morning after.
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